Match Info

2. Liga - Round 28

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Solarstadion Gleisdorf (Gleisdorf)

Referee: Ristoskov E. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Sturm Graz B		Austria Salzburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.85
	2.18	3.4	3.05
	2.29	3.64	3.07
	2.15	3.66	3.08	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.17	3.5	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.27)	3.46 ↑ (3.32)	3 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz B
42.2%

Draw
26.8%

Austria Salzburg
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Austria Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Sturm Graz B - Austria Salzburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lorenz E. (G) 37. Bendra K. 31. Pernot B. (C) 27. Pirker S. 5. Maierhofer B. 21. Scharmer T. 30. Mustafic S. 11. Gurmann T. 33. Lazarre W. 9. Jastrzembski D. 38. Peinhart J.	96. Nesler-Taubl S. (G) 80. Parkadze L. 55. Meisl L. (C) 4. Kahrimanovic D. 24. Aigner S. 20. Eder M. 11. Lipczinski P. 10. Sorda M. 2. Rohrmoser T. 19. Lukasser Weitlaner N. 7. Rieder F.
Substitutes
10. Afrifa L. 57. Grgic M. 17. Locker J. 45. Nsumbu D. 47. Osayantin R. 56. Petritsch J. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)	45. Bares D. 23. Collins M. 8. Cosgun D. 14. Gruber C. 18. Huber B. 37. Marusic G. 21. Omerovic E. (G)
Coaches
Wurm C.	Schaider C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Lipczinski P. ↓, Bares D. ↑,
32', Scharmer T. 🟨,
37', Meisl L. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Sorda M. ⚽, Rohrmoser T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Bares D. ⚽, Eder M. (A),
46', Scharmer T. ↓, Osayantin R. ↑,
46', Jastrzembski D. ↓, Petritsch J. ↑,
58', Nesler-Taubl S. 🟨,
63', Parkadze L. ↓, Huber B. ↑,
63', Lukasser Weitlaner N. ↓, Cosgun D. ↑,
68', Pirker S. 🟥,
71', Bendra K. ↓, Grgic M. ↑,
71', Lazarre W. ↓, Afrifa L. ↑,
76', Eder M. ↓, Collins M. ↑,
79', Mustafic S. 🟨,
90+2', Cosgun D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Sturm B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Austria Salzburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Austria Salzburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sturm B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	A. Salzburg	7	3	1	3	14:12	2	10
13	Sturm Graz II	7	2	2	3	15:18	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
26.04.26	Admira - Sturm Graz B	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sturm Graz B - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	First Vienna - Sturm Graz B	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Bregenz - Sturm Graz B	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Sturm Graz B - St. Pölten	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWL
- SV Austria Salzburg
Austrian 2 Liga
25.04.26	Austria Salzburg - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Austria Wien II - Austria Salzburg	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Austria Salzburg - Admira	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	SPG Wels - Austria Salzburg	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Austria Salzburg - Bregenz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
08.11.25	Austria Salzburg - Sturm Graz B	1:2

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