Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 7

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Karinya Reserve (Eden Hills)


	Sturt Lions		Adelaide City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	4.15	1.62	Watch
	3.96	4.5	1.72
	3.86	4.65	1.68	Watch
	3.9	4	1.67
	4.02	4.23	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.77)	4.31 ↓ (4.4)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturt Lions
23.5%

Draw
21.5%

Adelaide City
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

21.1%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

20.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Adelaide City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sturt Lions - Adelaide City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0.

In recent matches, Sturt Lions has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Adelaide City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Adelaide City is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:21. (average 0.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt Lions
Australian NPL South Australian
11.04.26	Playford City Patriots - Sturt Lions	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Sturt Lions - West Torrens Birkalla	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Para Hills Knights - Sturt Lions	0:5 ✺
14.03.26	Sturt Lions - North Eastern MetroStars	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW
- Adelaide City
Australian NPL South Australian
11.04.26	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide City	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Adelaide City - Adelaide Comets	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide City	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Adelaide City - Adelaide United U23	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Croydon - Adelaide City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
17.06.23	Sturt Lions - Adelaide City	2:2
01.04.23	Adelaide City - Sturt Lions	2:0
30.07.22	Sturt Lions - Adelaide City	1:4
30.04.22	Adelaide City - Sturt Lions	3:0
01.09.21	Adelaide City - Sturt Lions	2:0
08.05.21	Sturt Lions - Adelaide City	0:1
07.07.18	Adelaide City - Sturt Lions	4:0

Sturt Lions - Adelaide City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide