Match Info

WA State League - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Rosalie Park (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Streamer


	Subiaco		UWA Nedlands

	1	X	2
	4.05	4.15	1.6
	3.49	4.6	1.61
	3.68	5.15	1.60	Watch
	4.2	4	1.57
	4.64	4.5	1.51
	5	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (6.28)	4.48 ↓ (4.6)	1.55 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiaco
21.6%

Draw
20.1%

UWA Nedlands
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

19.7%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

19.1%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Subiaco's performance.

UWA Nedlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UWA Nedlands might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiaco than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Subiaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UWA Nedlands than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UWA Nedlands could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Subiaco - UWA Nedlands Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 3, ⚽,
56', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: )).

In recent matches, Subiaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nedlands is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Nedlands is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Subiaco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Subiaco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nedlands	22	15	2	5	48:25	23	47
11	Subiaco	22	6	2	14	36:46	-10	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Subiaco AFC
Australian WA State League
23.05.26	Subiaco - Curtin University	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Subiaco - Gwelup Croatia	5:1 ✺
08.05.26	Floreat Athena - Subiaco	5:4 ✺
02.05.26	Kingsley Westside - Subiaco	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Murdoch University Melville - Subiaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLLW
- UWA Nedlands
Australian WA State League
23.05.26	UWA Nedlands - Murdoch University Melville	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Mandurah City - UWA Nedlands	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Curtin University - UWA Nedlands	0:3 ✺
06.05.26	UWA Nedlands - Inglewood United	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	UWA Nedlands - Quinns	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian WA State League
21.06.25	Subiaco - UWA Nedlands	0:0
22.03.25	UWA Nedlands - Subiaco	3:1
31.08.24	Subiaco - UWA Nedlands	2:0
15.06.24	UWA Nedlands - Subiaco	1:1

Subiaco - UWA Nedlands: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide