Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Central Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.93
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.2	3.81	1.99
	3.22	3.84	2
	3.3	3.5	1.97
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.38)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	1.97 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
28.3%

Draw
25%

Coalville Town
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

24.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sudbury Town's form might have worsened.

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coalville Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sudbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coalville Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Neal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, McManus S. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Sudbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Coalville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coalville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coalville will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sudbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.04.24	Needham Market - Sudbury Town	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Sudbury Town - St Ives Town	2:4 ✺
23.03.24	Stourbridge - Sudbury Town	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Sudbury Town - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Sudbury Town - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLW
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.04.24	Mickleover Sports - Coalville Town	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Coalville Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
26.03.24	Coalville Town - Mickleover Sports	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Halesowen Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Leamington - Coalville Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.11.23	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	0:3
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	3:0

Sudbury Town - Coalville Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide