The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Garudayaksa 75.8%
Draw 17.3%
PSMS Medan 6.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
21.3%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.7%
20.4%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Garudayaksa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garudayaksa's performance.
PSMS Medan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSMS Medan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garudayaksa than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garudayaksa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSMS Medan than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSMS Medan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Garudayaksa - PSMS Medan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Beny Y. (G) 4. Berlian A. (C) 8. Eka F. 10. Everton Nascimento 99. Frydek Ch. 2. Gaspuitis V. 5. Gigis A. 24. Kelilauw A. 93. Nirwanto B. 27. Nova A. 7. Vermansyah A.
31. Quba F. (C) 17. Alim Z. 27. Cahya A. 10. Clayton 20. Kim Jeung-Ho 33. Kurniady J. 30. Lastori R. 12. Nurzaidin N. 23. Setiawan A. 14. Togubu R. 97. Wadil A.
Substitutes
6. Cingi M. 17. Hidayat T. 26. Nico R. 65. Nurdin R. (G) 18. Poerba A. 96. Redondo R. (G) 9. Rizky D. 77. Saimima S. 54. Tampubolon R. 72. Tri Maulana D. 11. Walidain B. 21. Zacky D.
18. Fazri M. 1. Gunandi A. (G) 15. Maring A. 6. Marsi R. 7. Nugroho A. 8. Qadri I. 93. Rahayu R. (G) 29. Rudiyana 13. Saputra D. 32. Wijianto S. 9. Zaki M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Everton Nascimento ⚽,
40', Lastori R. 🟨,
45+3', Alim Z. 🟨,
45+5', Gigis A. 🟥,
45+12', Quba F. ↓, Rahayu R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wadil A. ↓, Nugroho A. ↑,
46', Eka F. ↓, Cingi M. ↑,
62', Berlian A. ↓, Saimima S. ↑,
67', Kurniady J. 🟨,
72', Frydek Ch. ↓, Tri Maulana D. ↑,
76', Lastori R. ↓, Rudiyana ↑,
84', Alim Z. ↓, Zaki M. ↑,
90+1', Everton Nascimento ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Garudayaksa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Garudayaksa is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Garudayaksa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Garudayaksa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.