Match Info

3rd Division - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Sundby		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.80	1.68
	3.60	3.65	1.78
	3.71	4.42	1.75
	3.01	3.72	2.06	Watch
	3.60	3.90	1.70
	3.66	4.28	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.45)	3.96 ↑ (3.53)	1.79 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundby
25.8%

Draw
23.1%

Holbæk
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.7%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

25.5%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundby than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sundby - Holbæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Holbæk will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 5)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, ⚽,
75', 1 - 4, ⚽,
81', 1 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Sundby has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Holbæk is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Holbæk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sundby won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sundby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Holbaek	10	7	1	2	26:18	8	22
9	Sundby	10	3	1	6	14:16	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Sundby - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.32%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sundby BK
Danish 3 Division
30.05.26	Sundby - Odder	3:3 ✺
23.05.26	Lyseng - Sundby	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Vejgaard - Sundby	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Sundby - BK Frem	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWWL
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
30.05.26	Holbæk - Lyseng	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	BK Frem - Holbæk	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	Holbæk - Odder	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	Vejgaard - Holbæk	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
02.05.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:0
21.03.26	Holbæk - Sundby	2:2
22.08.25	Sundby - Holbæk	2:0
28.03.25	Holbæk - Sundby	0:2
06.09.24	Sundby - Holbæk	1:0

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