The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland U21 50.4%
Draw 21.9%
Arsenal U21 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
24.1%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
22.9%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland U21's performance.
Arsenal U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Sunderland U21 - Arsenal U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sunderland U21 will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Arsenal U21 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland U21: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Arsenal U21 (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cowan J. (G) 2. Jones J. 5. Holcroft F. 6. Kindon B. 3. Lightfoot A. 10. Jones H. (C) 4. Jones J. 7. Dinsdale C. 8. Whittaker J. 11. Scott F. 9. Abdullahi A.
1. Mitchell R. (G) 2. Ferdinand S. (C) 5. Chapman S. 6. Ibrahim I. 3. Ogunnaike J. 8. Julienne T. 4. Owusu-Gyasi A. 7. Stevens A. 10. Hashi M. 11. Harriman-Annous A. 9. Mooney E.
Substitutes
16. Campbell L. 15. Lenz E. 12. Lienard A. 13. Metcalf B. (G) 14. Proctor T.
16. Bailey-Joseph B. 12. Hamill C. 14. Murisa T. 15. Nduka M.
Coaches
Murty G.
Porter M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Abdullahi A. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Jones J. ⚽, Dinsdale C. (A),
34', Harriman-Annous A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 3 - 0, Kindon B. ⚽, Jones H. (A),
45+3', Ferdinand S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Harriman-Annous A. ⚽,
62', Stevens A. ↓, Hamill C. ↑,
64', Abdullahi A. ↓, Proctor T. ↑,
65', Dinsdale C. ↓, Lenz E. ↑,
65', Scott F. ↓, Campbell L. ↑,
71', Hashi M. ↓, Nduka M. ↑,
77', Jones J. 🟨,
84', Jones J. ↓, Lienard A. ↑,
88', Chapman S. ↓, Murisa T. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Sunderland U21 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Arsenal U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Arsenal U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sunderland U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Sunderland U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Sunderland U21
4
3
0
1
13:9
4
9
23
Arsenal U21
4
0
3
1
4:7
-3
3
Last Results with these Odds
Sunderland U21 - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Cowan J. (G) 
Abdullahi A. 
Mooney E. 
Lenz E. 
Lienard A. 
Metcalf B. (G) 
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