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Current Win Probability
Sunderland U21 28.3%
Draw 20.1%
Manchester City U21 51.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.8%
18.8%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
16.8%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Sunderland U21 - Manchester City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Metcalf B. (G) 2. Jones J. 5. Holcroft F. 6. Kindon B. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Jones H. 8. Jones J. 7. Walsh R. 10. Middlemas B. (C) 11. Tuterov T. 9. Waters J.
1. Brits S. (G) 2. Nfonkeu B. 3. Katongo J. 4. Mfuni S. (C) 5. McFarlane C. 6. Fapetu F. 8. Breckin K. 7. Muir A. 10. Oboavwoduo J. 11. Lawrence E. 9. Sangare M.
Substitutes
13. Cowan J. (G) 16. Lightfoot A. 12. Moore E. 15. Scott F. 14. Whittaker J.
17. Dunbar-McDonald C. 14. Naylor S. 12. Noble K. 16. Warhurst M. 13. Wint J. (G)
Coaches
Murty G.
Wilkinson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Sangare M. ↓, Warhurst M. ↑,
42', Mfuni S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, Lawrence E. ⚽, Breckin K. (A),
62', Waters J. ↓, Moore E. ↑,
63', Walsh R. ↓, Whittaker J. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Jones H. ⚽,
74', Muir A. ↓, Dunbar-McDonald C. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Oboavwoduo J. ⚽, Breckin K. (A),
89', Tuterov T. ↓, Scott F. ↑,
90+1', Jones H. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland U21 won 2.
Sunderland U21 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Man City U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sunderland U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sunderland U21 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Man City U21 is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sunderland U21 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Watch
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Metcalf B. (G) 
Jones J. 
Tuterov T. 
Lawrence E. 
Sangare M. 
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