Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Sundsvall		IFK Göteborg

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.8	1.8
	4.6	4.1	1.7
	4	3.75	1.76
	4.39	3.98	1.81
	4.2	3.5	1.73	Watch
	4.15	3.88	1.78	Watch
	4	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (5.1)	3.82 ↓ (4.19)	1.76 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
22.3%

Draw
24.5%

IFK Göteborg
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.2%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

21.6%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

IFK Göteborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IFK Göteborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IFK Göteborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	9.7%	61.3%

Sundsvall - IFK Göteborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Sundsvall will win (votes: 9 - 29%). Göteborg will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göteborg: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 8).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (97.39%), has project points - 15, has currently - 11, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Göteborg has the most likely position - 8 (37.27%), has project points - 45, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, very small importance 0, very small match rating 7. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 1.

Sundsvall is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Göteborg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Göteborg is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.10.22	Sundsvall - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Mjällby - Sundsvall	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Sundsvall - Elfsborg	0:2 ✺
04.09.22	AIK - Sundsvall	4:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
31.08.22	Stocksund - Sundsvall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLW
- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.10.22	IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Djurgården - IFK Göteborg	3:0 ✺
12.09.22	IFK Göteborg - Helsingborg	1:3 ✺
05.09.22	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:4 ✺
Svenska Cupen
31.08.22	Torn - IFK Göteborg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
28.05.22	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	2:0
Svenska Cupen
28.02.21	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.09.19	Sundsvall - IFK Göteborg	0:2
06.07.19	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	2:1
26.10.18	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	1:2
27.05.18	Sundsvall - IFK Göteborg	2:0
05.11.17	IFK Göteborg - Sundsvall	0:3

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