Match Info

Date: 4 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Friends Arena (Solna)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AIK		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	10	Watch
	1.23	6.25	11.5
	1.22	6.5	13	Watch
	1.21	6	11
	1.22	6.9	14.48
	1.2	5.5	12	Watch
	1.21	6.55	12.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.14)	6.31 ↓ (7.7)	12.03 ↓ (16.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
77.3%

Draw
14.9%

Sundsvall
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.1%

12.2%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	12.5%	21.9%

AIK - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Sundsvall will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 49.1% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

AIK has the most likely position - 4 (22.89%), has project points - 53, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (82.27%), has project points - 16, has currently - 10, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 16, small importance 12, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches AIK won 3.

Recent matches AIK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sundsvall is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sundsvall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sundsvall have a series of guest games.

In this match AIK is certain favorite.

There will not play in AIK: Karlsson P. (Injury)

There will not play in Sundsvall: Hallenius L. (Injury)

There are questionable in AIK: Milosevic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sundsvall: Bengtsson J. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches AIK won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-10.

Including matches at home between the teams AIK won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Svenska Cupen
31.08.22	Hudiksvall - AIK	2:4 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.08.22	AIK - Hammarby	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	AIK - Slovácko	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.08.22	Norrköping - AIK	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Slovácko - AIK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWL
- GIF Sundsvall
Svenska Cupen
31.08.22	Stocksund - Sundsvall	0:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.08.22	Degerfors - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
21.08.22	Sundsvall - Helsingborg	1:2 ✺
14.08.22	Malmö - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
07.08.22	Hammarby - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
01.05.22	Sundsvall - AIK	0:2
Club Friendly
11.02.22	AIK - Sundsvall	3:0
04.04.21	AIK - Sundsvall	1:1
31.01.20	Sundsvall - AIK	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.19	AIK - Sundsvall	2:1
24.05.19	Sundsvall - AIK	1:1
Club Friendly
25.01.19	Sundsvall - AIK	1:1

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