Match Info

Superettan - Round 25

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Karlsson H. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Sundsvall		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.70	1.70
	4.10	3.80	1.70
	3.90	3.55	1.76
	4.50	3.99	1.76
	4.03	3.91	1.79	Watch
	4.45	3.95	1.72
	4.15	3.83	1.76	Watch
	4.00	3.70	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.4)	3.8 ↑ (3.45)	1.74 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
22.4%

Draw
24.4%

Ljungskile
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ljungskile's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Sundsvall - Ljungskile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson J. (G) 18. Forsberg L. 4. Hedenquist J. 17. Eriksson N. 5. Atlee A. 16. Hansson E. 6. Manchon M. (C) 21. Navik L. 19. Gojani E. 9. Kagayama T. 15. Ekong S.	1. Eriksson L. (G) 3. Johanstrommer Hedin G. 60. Mensah G. 69. Maric I. 13. Nilsson W. 71. Ljung D. 8. Tyren V. 10. Ambroz F. (C) 16. Reljanovic E. 99. Lindholm Corner L. 15. Frisk D.
Substitutes
25. Baah C. 27. Bahtijar A. 28. Bengtsson E. 20. Bjornler J. 34. Bjuhr W. (G) 26. Carrick E. 14. Demirol A. 30. Mambu J. 24. Sulaiman K.	58. Adrian S. 27. Boren A. 18. Borstam H. 19. Hedstrom J. D. E. 20. Hogg C. (G) 14. Lagerlof D. 5. Ornblom F. 9. Rasheed A.
Coaches
Hansen P.	Fredheim T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Lindholm Corner L. ⚽, Tyren V. (A),
30', Ambroz F. ↓, Lagerlof D. ↑,
39', 0 - 2, Lindholm Corner L. ⚽, Tyren V. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 2, Hansson E. ⚽, Atlee A. (A),
57', Nilsson W. ↓, Boren A. ↑,
57', Frisk D. ↓, Borstam H. ↑,
64', Eriksson N. ↓, Carrick E. ↑,
69', Ekong S. ↓, Sulaiman K. ↑,
69', Navik L. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
76', Lindholm Corner L. ↓, Rasheed A. ↑,
76', Tyren V. ↓, Hedstrom J. D. E. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Gojani E. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Kagayama T. ⚽, Hansson E. (A),
90+3', Mensah G. 🟨,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Ljungskile is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Sundsvall has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.3:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sundsvall against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2.7:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ljungskile	25	6	7	12	31:38	-7	25
16	Sundsvall	25	6	1	18	19:53	-34	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
15.09.26	Landskrona - Sundsvall	4:0 ✺
10.09.26	Sundsvall - Örebro	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Brage - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Sundsvall - Norrby	1:0 ✺
25.08.26	Öster - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWWL
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Superettan
13.09.26	Ljungskile - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ljungskile - Norrby	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Norrköping - Ljungskile	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Ljungskile - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Östersund - Ljungskile	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
14.05.26	Ljungskile - Sundsvall	1:0
26.10.20	Ljungskile - Sundsvall	0:0
07.08.20	Sundsvall - Ljungskile	5:2
25.09.14	Ljungskile - Sundsvall	0:0
24.05.14	Sundsvall - Ljungskile	0:0
17.09.13	Ljungskile - Sundsvall	0:1
23.05.13	Sundsvall - Ljungskile	3:1

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