Match Info

Superettan - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Skarsjövallen (Uddevalla)

Referee: Persson M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV12, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ljungskile		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.20
	2.00	3.40	3.20
	2.05	3.40	3.10
	2.09	3.78	3.47
	2.16	3.53	3.14	Watch
	2.04	3.70	3.30
	2.03	3.64	3.33	Watch
	1.99	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 (2.04)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ljungskile
45.4%

Draw
26.1%

Värnamo
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Ljungskile - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ljungskile will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Värnamo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Värnamo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Värnamo (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ljungskile will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ljungskile (votes: 3 - 50%). Värnamo (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson L. (G) 3. Johanstrommer Hedin G. 60. Mensah G. 69. Maric I. 23. Uzel M. 10. Ambroz F. (C) 71. Ljung D. 13. Nilsson W. 8. Tyren V. 99. Lindholm Corner L. 19. Hedstrom J. D. E.	1. Keto H. (G) 18. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 2. Rapp J. 4. Ohlsson S. 3. Bjornstrom A. 26. Johansson C. 10. Claesson V. (C) 33. Akinfenwa M. 9. Meriluoto K. 7. Johansson C. 14. Antonsson M.
Substitutes
58. Adrian S. 18. Borstam H. 15. Frisk D. 20. Hogg C. (G) 14. Lagerlof D. 7. Liljedahl J. 5. Ornblom F. 9. Rasheed A. 16. Reljanovic E.	8. Andersson H. 17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 24. Kamara M. 39. Selin L. (G) 34. Zulovic B.
Coaches
Jensen J.	Bergstrand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Motaraghebjafarpour A. 🟨,
63', Uzel M. ↓, Reljanovic E. ↑,
63', Lindholm Corner L. ↓, Lagerlof D. ↑,
64', Johansson C. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', Meriluoto K. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
69', Akinfenwa M. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
71', Jansson S. 🟨,
75', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
78', Tyren V. ↓, Rasheed A. ↑,
84', Lagerlof D. 🟨,
88', Nilsson W. ↓, Liljedahl J. ↑,
88', Antonsson M. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Zulovic B. ⚽, Andersson H. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ljungskile won 5.

Ljungskile has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Värnamo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ljungskile might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ljungskile won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ljungskile won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29
12	Ljungskile	25	6	7	12	31:38	-7	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Superettan
24.08.26	Östersund - Ljungskile	0:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	IK Franke - Ljungskile	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
15.08.26	Ljungskile - Öster	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Ljungskile - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	United Nordic - Ljungskile	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
24.08.26	Värnamo - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	Växjö Norra - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.26	Värnamo - Östersund	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Helsingborg - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Örebro - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
19.07.26	Värnamo - Ljungskile	2:3
Swedish Division 1 Södra
29.09.19	Ljungskile - Värnamo	3:0
02.06.19	Värnamo - Ljungskile	0:2
Swedish Superettan
02.10.16	Ljungskile - Värnamo	2:0
10.04.16	Värnamo - Ljungskile	0:2
04.10.15	Ljungskile - Värnamo	0:2
07.04.15	Värnamo - Ljungskile	2:1

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