Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sunrise		Police

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.82	2.12
	3.39	2.98	2.19	Watch
	3.25	2.80	2.05
	3.41	2.97	2.22
	3.30	2.90	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunrise
26.9%

Draw
31.1%

Police
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

31.2%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sunrise have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sunrise - Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunrise won 1.

Police is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Sunrise has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:25 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sunrise against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sunrise	6	1	4	1	4:7	-3	7
13	Police	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunrise FC
Rwanda Premier League
17.09.26	Rayon Sports - Sunrise	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Etincelles - Sunrise	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Gasogi United - Sunrise	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	Sunrise - Kigali	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Muhazi United - Sunrise	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLLL
- Police FC Kibungo
Rwanda Premier League
17.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Police	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Police - Gicumbi	1:2 ✺
Rwanda Super Cup
30.08.26	Kiyovu Sports - Police	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Rayon Sports - Police	0:1 penalties ✺
Rwanda Premier League
16.05.26	Police - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
14.01.24	Sunrise - Police	0:1
20.08.23	Police - Sunrise	2:0
26.02.23	Police - Sunrise	2:1
19.08.22	Sunrise - Police	1:0
05.01.20	Sunrise - Police	2:2
06.10.19	Police - Sunrise	3:2
01.05.19	Police - Sunrise	4:0

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