Match Info
Queensland Premier League - Round 8Date: 19 April 2026, SundayLocation: Ballinger Park (Buderim)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | FQTV |
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Sunshine Coast Wanderers |
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Logan Lightning |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.52 |
3.5 |
2.32 |
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 |
2.58 |
3.85 |
2.44 |
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 |
2.58 |
3.8 |
2.39 |
Watch |
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2.4 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
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 |
2.49 |
3.89 |
2.44 |
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 |
2.62 |
3.6 |
2.28 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↓ (2.62) |
3.69 ↑ (3.6) |
2.36 ↑ (2.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 36.3% | Draw 24.9% | Logan Lightning 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunshine Coast Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Logan Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)The ML Model estimate for Sunshine Coast Wanderers aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Logan Lightning Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+4', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).Both teams have been playing unpredictably. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunshine Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Sunshine Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Queensland | | | 11.06.22 | Logan Lightning - Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0:3 | | 27.03.22 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Logan Lightning | 3:0 | | 11.07.21 | Logan Lightning - Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 1:2 | | 09.06.21 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Logan Lightning | 3:1 | | Club Friendly | | | 12.02.21 | Logan Lightning - Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0:4 |
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