Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 6

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday

Location: Slokas Stadions (Jūrmala)


	Super Nova		Rīgas FS 2

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.62	3.62	1.87	Watch
	3.39	3.66	1.89
	3.5	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.75)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)	1.87 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova
25.9%

Draw
25.4%

Rīgas FS 2
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova's form might have worsened.

Rīgas FS 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rīgas FS 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rīgas FS 2 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rīgas FS 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Super Nova - Rīgas FS 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bite K. (G) 42. Artjomovs K. 5. Cirulis J. (C) 16. Denisovs A. 3. Mamich D. 17. Muradjans A. 14. Nakamura R. 30. Penka R. 22. Skadmanis K. 6. Vejkrigers D. 21. Zengis R.	1. Vilkovs S. (G) 14. Boroviks S. 92. Derkach M. 9. Deruzinskis R. 10. Gandzs L. 21. Ilenans K. 19. Jacenkovs R. 24. Jasaitis A. 4. Rudens K. 77. Sylla M. 99. Zaleiko G. (C)
Substitutes
88. Abramenko T. 32. Cevers R. 98. Grikovs A. 47. Komorovskis K. 29. Maculevics K. (G) 9. Silagailis H. 24. Sprukulis K. 20. Strupiss K. 7. Zihs V.	3. Atars P. 11. Juhnevics A. 13. Kirjanovs D. (G) 66. Kirsanovs K. 28. Majorovs I. 27. Motils S. 86. Poldseps R. 8. Sedols D. 52. Spunde M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Muradjans A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jasaitis A. ↓, Motils S. ↑,
46', Sylla M. ↓, Juhnevics A. ↑,
68', Denisovs A. ↓, Silagailis H. ↑,
68', Artjomovs K. ↓, Zihs V. ↑,
74', Gandzs L. ↓, Sedols D. ↑,
75', Muradjans A. ↓, Cevers R. ↑,
86', Juhnevics A. 🟨,
90+3', Skadmanis K. ↓, Sprukulis K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga).

Recent matches Super Nova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RFS 2 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Super Nova have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova FC
Latvian 1 Liga
07.07.24	Super Nova - Smiltene	2:3 ✺
29.06.24	Super Nova - Olaine	4:1 ✺
16.06.24	Valmiera 2 - Super Nova	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
02.06.24	Super Nova - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
26.05.24	Super Nova - JFK Ventspils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLW
- Rīgas FS 2
Latvian 1 Liga
06.07.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Rēzekne	4:0 ✺
28.06.24	Leevon PPK - Rīgas FS 2	1:2 ✺
14.06.24	Rīgas FS 2 - JDFS Alberts	4:0 ✺
26.05.24	Skanstes - Rīgas FS 2	0:5 ✺
18.05.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Riga 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW

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