Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 9

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	Valmiera 2		Super Nova

	1	X	2
	4.55	4.2	1.53
	5.41	4.15	1.49
	4.55	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.86)	4.18 ↑ (4.1)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valmiera 2
18.7%

Draw
21.6%

Super Nova
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

22.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valmiera 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Super Nova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Super Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valmiera 2 - Super Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Veisbuks D. (G) 37. Barbosa T. 4. Cepelevs N. 15. Cesnieks K. 21. Maurs-Boks E. 10. Mylchenko A. 17. Omori Y. 22. Owusu R. 9. Pulis I. (C) 8. Rotar C. 11. Zauska R. K.	99. Bite K. (G) 42. Artjomovs K. 98. Grikovs A. 15. Grjaznovs A. (C) 3. Mamich D. 14. Nakamura R. 30. Penka R. 22. Skadmanis K. 20. Strupiss K. 6. Vejkrigers D. 21. Zengis R.
Substitutes
33. Blaubergs M. 34. Cakurs B. 20. Cepelevs D. 16. Freilihs R. 3. Kalnins E. 14. Kizili J. 2. Krasts R. 1. Minuss R. (G) 18. Rusmanis M.	88. Abramenko T. 33. Aleksejevs R. 55. Balaguss N. (G) 13. Butovskis A. 5. Cirulis J. 47. Komorovskis K. 9. Silagailis H. 24. Sprukulis K. 7. Zihs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Rotar C. ⚽, Omori Y. (A),
45', Penka R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Strupiss K. ↓, Silagailis H. ↑,
46', Penka R. ↓, Cirulis J. ↑,
57', Owusu R. 🟨,
60', Pulis I. 🟨,
64', Grikovs A. ↓, Zihs V. ↑,
66', Rotar C. ↓, Kizili J. ↑,
66', Pulis I. ↓, Cepelevs D. ↑,
69', Skadmanis K. ↓, Butovskis A. ↑,
71', Omori Y. 🟨,
74', Maurs-Boks E. ↓, Kalnins E. ↑,
76', Cirulis J. 🟨,
77', Nakamura R. ↓, Komorovskis K. ↑,
78', Zauska R. K. ↓, Krasts R. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Komorovskis K. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Barbosa T. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
26.05.24	Ogre United - Valmiera 2	4:0 ✺
18.05.24	Valmiera 2 - Mārupe	4:0 ✺
11.05.24	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:4 ✺
04.05.24	Valmiera 2 - Olaine	3:2 ✺
26.04.24	Rēzekne - Valmiera 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Super Nova FC
Latvian Cup
02.06.24	Super Nova - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
26.05.24	Super Nova - JFK Ventspils	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Super Nova	0:4 ✺
03.05.24	Leevon PPK - Super Nova	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	JDFS Alberts - Super Nova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW

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