Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Premiership - Round 21

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 2
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 2


	Supersport United		AmaZulu

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.9
	2.34	2.95	3.15
	2.4	3.06	3.35
	2.29	2.99	3.14	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.38	2.92	3.25
	2.34	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.25)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	3.13 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Supersport United
39.2%

Draw
31.2%

AmaZulu
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

32%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Supersport United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

AmaZulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Supersport United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AmaZulu than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	44.4%	0%

Supersport United - AmaZulu Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Supersport United will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Supersport United: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Goss R. (G) 2. Mobbie N. (C) 13. Okon I. 33. Ndebele S. 17. Lungu G. 18. Poggenpoel B. 8. Ndlovu S. 35. Maboe L. 24. Lakay L. 27. Saile C. 32. Nurkovic S.	44. Mothwa V. (C) 2. Mobara A. 12. Fielies T. 42. Mthethwa S. 14. Radebe N. 34. Zungu B. 18. Brooks E. 25. Ngobeni S. 21. Human R. 9. Ighodaro E. 19. Moremi T.
Substitutes
11. Dzvukamanja T. 7. Grobler B. 5. Mbangossoum E. 1. Mbanjwa T. (G) 34. Moloisane O. 38. Moralo G. 16. Nkosi M. 15. Pule M. 26. Quaicoe E.	27. Ekstein H. 17. Gumede M. 26. Jooste W. 93. Kambindu E. 38. Mbanjwa A. (G) 15. Mbanjwa M. 8. Motshwari B. 23. Mphahlele R. 37. Sithole A.
Coaches
Hunt G.	Zwane A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Poggenpoel B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brooks E. ↓, Motshwari B. ↑,
46', Ighodaro E. ↓, Kambindu E. ↑,
63', Human R. ↓, Ekstein H. ↑,
64', Moremi T. 🟨,
66', Saile C. ↓, Quaicoe E. ↑,
71', Zungu B. 🟨,
74', Lungu G. ↓, Moloisane O. ↑,
74', Nurkovic S. ↓, Grobler B. ↑,
81', Zungu B. ↓, Mbanjwa M. ↑,
88', Radebe N. ↓, Jooste W. ↑,
90+2', Mobara A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Supersport United won 1.

Supersport United is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches AmaZulu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AmaZulu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Supersport United will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Supersport United won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:21 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Supersport United won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Supersport United
South African Premier Soccer League
01.03.25	Magesi - Supersport United	1:0 ✺
18.02.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Supersport United	1:4 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
12.02.25	Supersport United - Cape Town Spurs	2:1 ET ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
09.02.25	Sekhukhune United - Supersport United	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Supersport United - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWTL
- AmaZulu FC
South African Premier Soccer League
02.03.25	AmaZulu - Cape Town City	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	AmaZulu - Magesi	3:0 ✺
19.02.25	Sekhukhune United - AmaZulu	4:2 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
15.02.25	Marumo Gallants - AmaZulu	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
07.02.25	AmaZulu - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
01.02.25	AmaZulu - Supersport United	2:1
09.03.24	Supersport United - AmaZulu	1:1
09.08.23	AmaZulu - Supersport United	0:0
23.04.23	Supersport United - AmaZulu	2:1
10.08.22	AmaZulu - Supersport United	2:1
05.03.22	Supersport United - AmaZulu	2:0
14.09.21	AmaZulu - Supersport United	0:0

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