Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Premiership - Round 11

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Supersport United		Stellenbosch

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.8	2.9	2.65
	2.84	2.91	2.79
	2.77	2.77	2.72	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.7
	2.7	2.9	2.67	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.26)	2.87 ↑ (2.78)	2.68 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Supersport United
33.3%

Draw
32.2%

Stellenbosch
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

33.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

32.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Supersport United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supersport United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	45.5%	45.5%

Supersport United - Stellenbosch Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Supersport United will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Stellenbosch will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stellenbosch: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mbanjwa T. (G) 2. Mobbie N. 4. Sanoka P. (C) 42. Baloyi B. 29. Baliti A. 18. Poggenpoel B. 25. Ayer Boya K. 17. Lungu G. 7. Grobler B. 15. Pule M. 14. Morris T.	17. Stephens S. (C) 16. Godswill E. 24. Moloisane T. 26. Mcaba A. 21. Basadien F. 23. Adams J. 28. Palace G. 34. Titus D. 18. De Jong A. 20. Barns S. 9. Cupido A.
Substitutes
11. Dzvukamanja T. 20. Goss R. (G) 21. Jansen D. 24. Lakay L. 9. Mangezi N. 5. Mbangossoum E. 38. Moralo G. 8. Ndlovu S. 19. Rapoo N.	15. Butsaka C. 27. Jabaar I. 6. Jurgens K. 11. Langelihle P. 5. Lekoloane K. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 3. Mdaka O. 12. Mini T. 2. Onyango B.
Coaches
Hunt G.	Barker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Adams J. ⚽, Basadien F. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Morris T. ⚽, Pule M. (A),
39', Adams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Grobler B. ↓, Ndlovu S. ↑,
68', Barns S. ↓, Langelihle P. ↑,
68', Palace G. ↓, Butsaka C. ↑,
68', Cupido A. ↓, Lekoloane K. ↑,
69', Ayer Boya K. 🟨,
76', Mcaba A. 🟨,
80', De Jong A. ↓, Jabaar I. ↑,
83', Lungu G. ↓, Dzvukamanja T. ↑,
87', Adams J. ↓, Jurgens K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Supersport United won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Supersport United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Supersport United won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Supersport United won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Supersport United
South African Premier Soccer League
14.12.24	Supersport United - Magesi	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Richards Bay - Supersport United	0:1 ✺
29.11.24	Supersport United - Marumo Gallants	0:1 ✺
26.11.24	Chippa United - Supersport United	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Supersport United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTT
- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
18.12.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Stellenbosch - Berkane	1:3 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
01.12.24	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	Stade Malien - Stellenbosch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

South African Nedbank Cup
13.04.24	Stellenbosch - Supersport United	4:0
South African Premier Soccer League
16.02.24	Supersport United - Stellenbosch	1:1
26.08.23	Stellenbosch - Supersport United	1:2
South African MTN 8 Cup
13.08.23	Supersport United - Stellenbosch	0:1 ET
South African Premier Soccer League
02.05.23	Supersport United - Stellenbosch	0:0
18.10.22	Stellenbosch - Supersport United	0:2
03.05.22	Supersport United - Stellenbosch	0:0

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