What is the expert prediction for Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, August 30, 2025)

Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Danie Craven Stadium (Stellenbosch)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport PSL
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
South-africa	SuperSport PSL


	Stellenbosch		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	1.83
	4.15	3.25	1.82
	4.32	3.21	1.96
	4.53	3.00	1.90	Watch
	4	3.4	1.83
	4.28	3.28	1.84
	3.75	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.97)	3.27 ↓ (3.48)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stellenbosch
22.2%

Draw
28.2%

Mamelodi Sundowns
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26.5%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.4%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Stephens S. (C) 16. Godswill E. 24. Moloisane T. 4. Stanic H. 3. Mdaka O. 21. Mthiyane M. 34. Titus D. 12. Khiba T. 8. Lekoloane K. 27. Jabaar I. 18. De Jong A.	30. Williams R. (C) 15. Aubaas B. J. 42. Khoza M. 24. Cupido K. 27. Morena T. 43. Lethlaku K. 6. Modiba A. 9. Arthur Sales 11. Allende M. 17. Matthews T. 38. Shalulile P.
Substitutes
33. Butsaka C. 15. Khanyi M. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 10. Mojela L. B. 29. Mokobodi T. 7. Nku L. 14. Nkwali S. 19. Palace G. 11. Phili L.	8. Adams J. 23. Basadien F. 5. Lebusa M. 29. Lunga D. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 4. Mokoena T. 35. Mothiba L. 26. Pieterse R. (G) 13. Rayners I.
Coaches
Barker S.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Shalulile P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arthur Sales ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
48', Godswill E. 🟨,
55', Khiba T. ↓, Mojela L. B. ↑,
58', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
65', Lekoloane K. ↓, Phili L. ↑,
65', Godswill E. ↓, Mokobodi T. ↑,
66', Shalulile P. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
75', Cupido K. 🟨,
76', Jabaar I. ↓, Butsaka C. ↑,
77', De Jong A. ↓, Nku L. ↑,
81', Aubaas B. J. ↓, Mokoena T. ↑,
81', Matthews T. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
89', Lethlaku K. ↓, Lebusa M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stellenbosch won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Stellenbosch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stellenbosch won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stellenbosch won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).

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Last Results with these Odds

Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
26.08.25	Stellenbosch - Marumo Gallants	1:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
23.08.25	Sekhukhune United - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
20.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Stellenbosch	1:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
16.08.25	Stellenbosch - Sekhukhune United	2:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
13.08.25	Magesi - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
27.08.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
23.08.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates	1:2 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
20.08.25	Magesi - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
South African MTN 8 Cup
16.08.25	Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
12.08.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - AmaZulu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
11.05.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	3:0
18.12.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
South African MTN 8 Cup
01.09.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0
28.08.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	0:1
South African Premier Soccer League
18.05.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
South African Nedbank Cup
05.05.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:2
South African Premier Soccer League
27.09.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	3:1

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