Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 2 - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 5


	Suphanburi		Police Tero

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.25	2.03
	3.41	3.12	2.02
	3.36	3.33	2.04
	3.32	3.32	2.09	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.86)	3.25 ↑ (3.19)	2.04 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suphanburi
27.2%

Draw
28.1%

Police Tero
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suphanburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Police Tero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suphanburi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suphanburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Police Tero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Suphanburi - Police Tero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Phimpsang C. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 0, Chinthai P. ⚽,
90+11', 3 - 0, van Lingen O. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Suphanburi won 1.

Recent matches Suphanburi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Police Tero is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Suphanburi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Suphanburi won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:23 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Suphanburi won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:8 (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suphanburi FC
Thai League 2
02.02.25	Trat - Suphanburi	6:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
29.01.25	Bangkok FC - Suphanburi	2:3 ✺
Thai League 2
25.01.25	Suphanburi - Chanthaburi	3:3 ✺
19.01.25	Kasetsart - Suphanburi	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Suphanburi - Nakhon Si United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LWTLW
- Police Tero
Thai League 2
26.01.25	Pattaya United - Police Tero	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Police Tero - Ayutthaya United	0:0 ✺
10.01.25	Chanthaburi - Police Tero	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Nakhon Si United - Police Tero	4:0 ✺
22.12.24	Police Tero - Kasetsart	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
29.09.24	Police Tero - Suphanburi	1:0
Thai League 1
16.04.22	Suphanburi - Police Tero	1:2
13.11.21	Police Tero - Suphanburi	1:0
06.03.21	Police Tero - Suphanburi	3:1
30.10.20	Suphanburi - Police Tero	5:0
15.07.18	Police Tero - Suphanburi	1:1
28.03.18	Suphanburi - Police Tero	2:0

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