The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Surkhon Termez 27.1%
Draw 26%
Sogdiana Jizzakh 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
28.2%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
27.2%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Sogdiana Jizzakh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sogdiana Jizzakh's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogdiana Jizzakh than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sogdiana Jizzakh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Surkhon Termez - Sogdiana Jizzakh Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sogdiana will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
86. Merganov D. (G) 17. Abdukhamidov S. 14. Ashuboyev T. 21. Dzebniauri T. (C) 31. Ergashev K. 19. Kodirov F. 15. Ramazonov D. 66. Shaydulov B. 8. Sherbutaev K. 26. Shukurullaev B. 7. Tursunov D.
27. Mitrovic M. (G) 8. Boltaboev J. 14. Doriev L. 4. Dzhumatov B. 2. Dzhuraboev Z. 13. Ivanovic F. 10. Kakhramonov J. 17. Karimov O. 3. Kobilov I. 28. Mavlonkulov S. 7. Micin P.
Substitutes
25. Boymurodov O. (G) 11. Friday R. 39. Mirusmonov M. 27. Musaxonov M. 13. Nurullayev A. 32. Rahimjonov B. 70. Salikhjonov F. 91. Temirkhanov A. 18. Uktamov B.
22. Abdurashidov A. 23. Khoshimov S. 74. Nadzhafaliev B. (G) 77. Nurmatov O. 20. Omonkeldiev F. 32. Soyibov N. 33. Sultonmurodov S. 19. Urinboev Z. 9. Zajmovic D.
Coaches
Gafurov A.
Bakaev U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Kodirov F. ⚽,
25', Ergashev K. 🟨,
37', Kakhramonov J. ↓, Nurmatov O. ↑,
42', Boltaboev J. 🟨,
45+3', Mavlonkulov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Dzhuraboev Z. ↓, Soyibov N. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Mavlonkulov S. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Karimov O. ⚽, Doriev L. (A),
64', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Friday R. ↑,
64', Ramazonov D. ↓, Uktamov B. ↑,
64', Abdukhamidov S. ↓, Mirusmonov M. ↑,
66', Karimov O. ↓, Abdurashidov A. ↑,
78', Kodirov F. ↓, Salikhjonov F. ↑,
84', Nurmatov O. ↓, Khoshimov S. ↑,
84', Mavlonkulov S. ↓, Zajmovic D. ↑,
86', Sherbutaev K. ↓, Temirkhanov A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Zajmovic D. ⚽, Doriev L. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Sogdiana
22
8
4
10
38:43
-5
28
12
Termez Surkhon
22
7
5
10
19:28
-9
26
Last Results with these Odds
Sogdiana Jizzakh - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Merganov D. (G) 
Dzebniauri T. (C) 
Mitrovic M. (G) 
Doriev L. 
Dzhuraboev Z. 
Friday R. 
Zajmovic D. 
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