Match Info

Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 24

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Gradski (Nikšić)


	Sutjeska		Arsenal Tivat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	3.8	6.9
	1.53	3.59	7.32
	1.41	4	7.71	Watch
	1.5	3.3	6.5
	1.55	3.72	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.7)	3.68 ↑ (3.22)	6.88 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutjeska
61.8%

Draw
24.9%

Arsenal Tivat
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

28.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

27.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutjeska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutjeska's performance.

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tivat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutjeska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sutjeska (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sutjeska (1.73) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Sutjeska will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sutjeska (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Arsenal Tivat (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giljen V. (C) 72. Babic A. 20. Cadjenovic J. 88. Jukovic M. 70. Kalezic V. 15. Kopitovic B. 99. Mrvaljevic M. 22. Raznatovic A. 19. Simun M. 4. Vracar M. 7. Vukcevic I.	12. Bozinovic I. (G) 28. Cetkovic A. 14. Imamovic A. 90. Kovinic N. 77. Mandic S. 19. Mikijelj Z. 5. Petovic G. 10. Raznatovic P. (C) 8. Sahman I. 9. Vukcevic I. 26. Zivanovic M.
Substitutes
24. Cavor V. 91. Damjanovic B. 16. Djinovic O. 25. Djukanovic M. 2. Golubovic A. 30. Kecojevic A. 5. Pajovic I. 10. Toskovic B. 31. Vukcevic S. (G)	18. Bojanic N. 21. Gluscevic N. 16. Kascelan V. 20. Macanovic A. 15. Malisic P. 11. Montenegro J. 4. Nikolic J. 17. Sim D. 1. Zogovic B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Mrvaljevic M. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Simun M. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Cavor V. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
82', 3 - 1, Malisic P. ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, Kecojevic A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutjeska won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Sutjeska is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sutjeska won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutjeska won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sutjeska	9	4	2	3	11:7	4	14
10	Arsenal Tivat	9	1	4	4	5:11	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutjeska FK
Montenegrin First League
07.03.26	Sutjeska - Bokelj	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Jezero - Sutjeska	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sutjeska - Petrovac	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Budućnost Podgorica - Sutjeska	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Sutjeska - Otrant	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLT
- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin First League
07.03.26	Arsenal Tivat - Jezero	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Petrovac - Arsenal Tivat	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Arsenal Tivat - Budućnost Podgorica	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mornar Bar - Arsenal Tivat	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.26	Arsenal Tivat - Jezero	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.01.26	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	3:0
Montenegrin First League
09.11.25	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	0:0
13.09.25	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	2:0
26.04.25	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	1:1
02.03.25	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	2:0
23.10.24	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	0:1
21.08.24	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	1:2

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