What is the expert prediction for Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat?

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Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, August 07, 2026)

Match Info

Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 2

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Topolica (Bar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mornar Bar		Arsenal Tivat

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.25	5.50
	1.55	3.4	5.7
	1.58	3.56	6.02
	1.59	3.48	5.84
	1.56	3.5	5.95
	1.62	3.6	5.4
	1.44	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	5.8 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
58.3%

Draw
26%

Arsenal Tivat
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

27.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mornar Bar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Mornar Bar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Stojanovic V. (G) 15. Baosic J. 17. Dasic J. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 32. Ljutica V. 6. Martinovic I. 10. Skrijelj D. 9. Soussi A. 33. Stijepovic N. 97. Vukcevic P. 11. Yao Y.	1. Zogovic B. (C) 7. Golub A. 4. Kaneda R. 77. Mandic S. 13. Mikijelj Z. 5. Petovic G. 10. Raznatovic P. 8. Sahman I. 23. Sesay Y. S. 9. Vukcevic I. 26. Zivanovic M.
Substitutes
5. Dakic D. 99. Dragovic V. 23. Dubljevic B. 1. Dubljevic R. (G) 30. Hajdarpasic E. 25. Milosevic B. 16. Mitrovic F. 21. Rovcanin M. 19. Vujnovic N.	12. Bozinovic I. (G) 28. Dajkovic V. 19. Dukanovic 24. Erakovic N. 16. Kascelan V. 15. Malisic P. 2. Maras M. 22. Soskic P. 29. Vujacic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 2.

Mornar Bar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal Tivat's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Arsenal Tivat has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mornar Bar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mornar Bar won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mornar Bar won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mornar Bar	3	1	2	0	3:2	1	5
8	Arsenal Tivat	3	0	3	0	0:0	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin First League
02.08.26	Jezero - Mornar Bar	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Mornar Bar - Atlètic Escaldes	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Atlètic Escaldes - Mornar Bar	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Mornar Bar - Petrovac	0:0 ✺
01.07.26	Zemun - Mornar Bar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTW
- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin First League
02.08.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Arsenal Tivat	6:0 ✺
08.07.26	Bokelj - Arsenal Tivat	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Arsenal Tivat - Mladost Donja Gorica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
12.04.26	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	0:1
21.02.26	Mornar Bar - Arsenal Tivat	1:2
08.10.25	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	0:1
10.08.25	Mornar Bar - Arsenal Tivat	2:2
14.05.25	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	1:1
16.03.25	Mornar Bar - Arsenal Tivat	1:0
10.11.24	Arsenal Tivat - Mornar Bar	4:0

Mornar Bar - Arsenal Tivat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide