Match Info

3. Lig Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Suvermez		Erciyes 38

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.05	2
	3.6	3.44	1.93	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2
	3.32	3.37	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.55)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suvermez
27.2%

Draw
27.8%

Erciyes 38
45%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.6%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suvermez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suvermez's form might have worsened.

Erciyes 38 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erciyes 38's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suvermez than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suvermez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erciyes 38 than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erciyes 38, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Suvermez - Erciyes 38 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Tosun M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Demir O. E. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Yasak C. ⚽, Yigit S. (A),
77', 2 - 2, Cakar A. ⚽, Can O. (A),
90+8', Cakar A. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In recent matches, Suvermez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erciyes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Erciyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Suvermez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suvermez Kapadokya Spor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
15.02.26	Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor - Suvermez	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Suvermez - Kırşehir	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	12 Bingöl Spor - Suvermez	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Suvermez - Kırıkkale	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Suvermez - Kilis Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWTTW
- Erciyes 38 FSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
15.02.26	Erciyes 38 - Malatya Yeşilyurt	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Erciyes 38 - Karaköprü	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Silifke - Erciyes 38	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Erciyes 38 - Osmaniyespor	5:0 ✺
10.01.26	Türk Metal Kırıkkale Spor - Erciyes 38	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
18.10.25	Erciyes 38 - Suvermez	3:0

Suvermez - Erciyes 38