Match Info

K League 2 - Round 30

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
South Korea	14:00	Coupang Play
International	05:00	K League TV


	Suwon		Chungnam Asan

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	3.90	Watch
	1.75	3.40	3.90
	1.97	3.45	3.20
	1.80	3.98	4.46
	1.81	3.81	4.02	Watch
	1.72	3.90	4.40
	1.77	3.72	4.24	Watch
	1.80	3.60	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.78)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	4 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
51.6%

Draw
25.2%

Chungnam Asan
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Chungnam Asan aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Suwon - Chungnam Asan Predictions

Users Predictions: Suwon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 25. Jang Young-Woo 6. Kim Ji-hun 3. Derlan 22. Seo Jae-Min 8. Han Chan-Hee (C) 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 27. Lee S. 10. Matheus Frizzo 91. Kim Do-Yoon 9. Matheus Babi	18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 5. Byun J. 33. Kim Hye-seong 3. Lee Ho-In 72. Sin Il-yeon 10. Son Jun-Ho 8. Choi Chi-Won 17. Kim Ju-Sung 7. Han Kyo-Won 9. Kim Jong-Min (C) 11. Denisson Silva
Substitutes
29. Choi Gi-Yun 99. Ha Jeong-woo 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 16. Jo Jin-Woo 70. Jung Seung-Bae 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 89. Lee Gwang-Hyeok 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 18. Tsukagawa K.	20. Choi Bo-Kyung 55. Jang Jun-Yeong 70. Ju-Young P. 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 13. Kim Young-Nam 97. Lokolingoy C. 25. Park J. 24. Park Se-Jik 14. Park Seong-Woo
Coaches
Park Kun-Ha	Gaspar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Choi Chi-Won 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Derlan (Own goal),
42', Lee S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matheus Babi ↓, Ha Jeong-woo ↑,
46', Kim Do-Yoon ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
55', Sin Il-yeon ↓, Park J. ↑,
64', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,
67', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Park Seong-Woo ↑,
67', Han Kyo-Won ↓, Ju-Young P. ↑,
70', Jang Young-Woo ↓, Choi Gi-Yun ↑,
72', Denisson Silva ↓, Lokolingoy C. ↑,
72', Choi Chi-Won ↓, Kim Young-Nam ↑,
79', Derlan ↓, Lee Hyeon-yong ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - K League 1 and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 3.

Suwon is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chungnam Asan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Suwon is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Suwon has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Suwon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:12 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	28	15	9	4	53:31	22	54
7	Asan	28	10	9	9	36:32	4	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
17.10.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Suwon - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Suwon	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Suwon - Cheonan City	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Yongin - Suwon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTT
- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
17.10.26	Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Gimhae - Chungnam Asan	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Chungnam Asan - Cheonan City	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Chungnam Asan - Cheongju	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Suwon Bluewings - Chungnam Asan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
17.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	1:3
21.09.20	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	0:2
11.07.20	Suwon - Chungnam Asan	1:1
24.05.20	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	0:5
28.09.19	Suwon - Chungnam Asan	2:2
26.08.19	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	1:1
15.06.19	Suwon - Chungnam Asan	2:0

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