Match Info

K League 2 - Round 29

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
South Korea	16:30	Coupang Play
International	07:30	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Chungnam Asan

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.00	2.38	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.35
	2.70	3.20	2.32
	3.04	3.21	2.53
	2.97	3.19	2.42	Watch
	2.90	3.15	2.50
	2.88	3.14	2.49	Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
32.5%

Draw
29.4%

Chungnam Asan
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

29.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chungnam Asan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 27. Son Ho-Jun 39. Lucao 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 26. Choi Jung-Won (C) 2. Bae Hyun-Seo 24. Yun Il-Lok 77. Kim Ha-min 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 66. Cho Sang-Jun 90. Kim Hyeon-oh	18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 5. Byun J. 33. Kim Hye-seong 3. Lee Ho-In 72. Sin Il-yeon 10. Son Jun-Ho 8. Choi Chi-Won 17. Kim Ju-Sung 7. Han Kyo-Won 9. Kim Jong-Min (C) 11. Denisson Silva
Substitutes
70. Felipe Fonseca 55. Jang Seung-woo 30. Jung Hyun-Wook 29. Karadzic A. 31. Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 8. Lee Chan-Dong 71. Lee Heon-Jae 6. Lim Eun-Su	20. Choi Bo-Kyung 6. Choi Hee-Won 70. Ju-Young P. 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 97. Lokolingoy C. 25. Park J. 24. Park Se-Jik 14. Park Seong-Woo 39. Vitinho Lopes
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Gaspar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Sin Il-yeon 🟨,
45', Bae Hyun-Seo ↓, Kwon Gi-Pyo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sin Il-yeon ↓, Park J. ↑,
51', Kim Jong-Min 🟨,
70', Kim Hyeong-Won ↓, Lee Chan-Dong ↑,
70', Cho Sang-Jun ↓, Lee Heon-Jae ↑,
72', Lucao 🟨,
78', Choi Jung-Won 🟨,
82', Han Kyo-Won ↓, Lokolingoy C. ↑,
85', Park J. 🟨,
86', Denisson Silva ↓, Vitinho Lopes ↑,
90+3', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Felipe Fonseca ↑,
90+4', Choi Chi-Won ↓, Park Se-Jik ↑,
90+4', Park Se-Jik 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gyeongnam has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:31 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gyeongnam against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Asan	28	10	9	9	36:32	4	39
9	Gyeongnam	28	8	11	9	32:34	-2	35

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Chungnam Asan - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.67%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
10.10.26	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Yongin - Gyeongnam	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Cheongju - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWT
- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
10.10.26	Gimhae - Chungnam Asan	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Chungnam Asan - Cheonan City	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Chungnam Asan - Cheongju	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Suwon Bluewings - Chungnam Asan	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Chungnam Asan - Yongin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
12.07.26	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	1:1
12.10.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	1:0
09.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	2:2
17.05.25	Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan	1:3
01.09.24	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	3:0
22.06.24	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	4:0
16.03.24	Gyeongnam - Chungnam Asan	1:2

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