Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	Suzhou Dongwu		Taizhou Yuanda

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.5	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.62
	5.5	3.6	1.52
	5.4	3.5	1.56
	5.94	3.85	1.61
	5.8	3.5	1.55
	5.5	3.75	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (4.71)	3.67 ↓ (3.75)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
16.7%

Draw
24.9%

Taizhou Yuanda
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20.1%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Taizhou Yuanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taizhou Yuanda than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taizhou Yuanda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suzhou Dongwu - Taizhou Yuanda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Suzhou Dongwu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Taizhou Yuanda is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Taizhou Yuanda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Taizhou Yuanda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
27.09.20	Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing EG	2:3 ✺
24.09.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Suzhou Dongwu - Nei Mongol Zhongyou	0:0 ✺
16.09.20	Beijing Renhe - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
13.09.20	Taizhou Yuanda - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Taizhou Yuanda
Chinese Jia League
26.09.20	Taizhou Yuanda - Beijing Renhe	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Beijing EG - Taizhou Yuanda	0:2 ✺
20.09.20	Taizhou Yuanda - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
17.09.20	Nei Mongol Zhongyou - Taizhou Yuanda	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Taizhou Yuanda - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
13.09.20	Taizhou Yuanda - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0
Chinese Yi League
02.11.19	Taizhou Yuanda - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 penalties
26.10.19	Suzhou Dongwu - Taizhou Yuanda	1:1

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