Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Alphonse Theis (Hesperange)


	Swift Hesperange		F91 Dudelange

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.05	1.48
	5.82	4.39	1.47
	5.56	4.4	1.47	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.44
	4.94	4.16	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (5.15)	4.16 ↑ (3.97)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swift Hesperange
16.7%

Draw
22%

F91 Dudelange
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.8%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

22.6%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

F91 Dudelange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for F91 Dudelange than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dupire G. (G) 89. Bochu N. 2. Cikotic E. 23. Cisse M. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 11. Morabet M. 29. Nguinda P. 14. Ninte Junior F. 26. Prempeh J.	16. Latik E. (G) 3. Delorge K. 80. Dinho 6. Englaro I. 23. Gavioli I. 24. Kirch M. 8. Monteiro D. 22. Morren C. 14. Pianelli-Balisoni A. 7. Rotundo E. 33. Stumpf C.
Substitutes
8. Belliard H. 6. Bouazzati Y. 22. Drame S. 28. Kaloga M. 42. Kiambu C. (G) 12. Neves E. 15. Savane H.	4. Goncalves Tavares R. 36. Kamavuaka W. 38. Lima E. 27. Muratovic B. 5. Neamtiu T. 25. Novalic D. (G) 20. Tallarico V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Gavioli I. ⚽,
30', Morabet M. 🟨,
30', Kirch M. ↓, Neamtiu T. ↑,
36', Ninte Junior F. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Neamtiu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morabet M. ↓, Kaloga M. ↑,
48', Morren C. 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Dinho (Penalty Awarded),
56', Monteiro D. ↓, Muratovic B. ↑,
56', Pianelli-Balisoni A. ↓, Tallarico V. ↑,
58', Morren C. 🟨,
59', Cikotic E. ↓, Bouazzati Y. ↑,
59', Ninte Junior F. ↓, Savane H. ↑,
66', Herbin G. 🟨,
73', Erkus E. ↓, Drame S. ↑,
83', Cisse M. ↓, Neves E. ↑,
85', Stumpf C. ↓, Goncalves Tavares R. ↑,
85', Rotundo E. ↓, Lima E. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 1.

Swift Hesperange has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

F91 Dudelange has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Swift Hesperange has had a series of away games.

In this match, F91 Dudelange is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Swift Hesperange won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dudelange	8	2	1	5	8:15	-7	7
16	Hesperange	8	0	0	8	2:30	-28	-12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03	1:5 ✺
04.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Swift Hesperange	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Rodange - Swift Hesperange	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWLL
- F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg National Division
19.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jeunesse Esch - F91 Dudelange	5:0 ✺
22.03.26	F91 Dudelange - Differdange 03	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Jeunesse Canach - F91 Dudelange	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	F91 Dudelange - Swift Hesperange	3:1
03.05.25	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	0:4
23.11.24	F91 Dudelange - Swift Hesperange	4:3
28.04.24	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	2:1
12.11.23	F91 Dudelange - Swift Hesperange	1:0
16.04.23	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	4:3
06.11.22	F91 Dudelange - Swift Hesperange	0:4

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