Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Alphonse Theis (Hesperange)


	Swift Hesperange		Differdange 03

	1	X	2
	8.8	4.45	1.29
	11.47	5.3	1.25
	7.83	4.72	1.34	Watch
	10	4.6	1.25
	8.12	5.14	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.24 ↑ (8.4)	4.84 ↑ (4.62)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Swift Hesperange
9.9%

Draw
19%

Differdange 03
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

19.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

19.1%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dupire G. (G) 89. Bochu N. 2. Cikotic E. 3. El Foukhari I. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 11. Morabet M. 29. Nguinda P. (C) 14. Ninte Junior F. 15. Savane H. 78. Tshiabuiye G.	84. Felipe (G) 10. Abreu A. 14. Bedouret J. 5. Brusco T. 4. D'Anzico K. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 23. Hadji S. 39. Jakobi L. 55. Leandro Borges 7. Mfoumou B. 20. Pinto R.
Substitutes
8. Belliard H. 6. Bouazzati Y. 22. Drame S. 5. Erkus E. 42. Kiambu C. (G) 12. Neves E.	77. Bei G. 8. Bruninho 9. Buch A. 11. Costa P. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 32. Lempereur D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
9', 0 - 1, Mfoumou B. ⚽, Hadji S. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Hadji S. ⚽, Mfoumou B. (A),
30', 0 - 3, Mfoumou B. ⚽, Leandro Borges (A),
43', 0 - 4, Franzoni G. ⚽, Hadji S. (A),
44', El Foukhari I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cikotic E. ↓, Belliard H. ↑,
46', Tshiabuiye G. ↓, Neves E. ↑,
51', Savane H. 🟨,
53', 1 - 4, Bochu N. ⚽, Savane H. (A),
57', Jakobi L. ↓, Costa P. ↑,
57', Mfoumou B. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
62', Hadji S. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
67', Ninte Junior F. ↓, Bouazzati Y. ↑,
72', Pinto R. ↓, Lempereur D. ↑,
72', Bei G. ↓, Rauch L. ↑,
80', 1 - 5, Buch A. ⚽, Lempereur D. (A),
89', Bochu N. ↓, Erkus E. ↑,
90+2', Savane H. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 0.

Swift Hesperange is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Differdange 03 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Swift Hesperange has had a series of away games.

Recently, Differdange 03 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Differdange 03 is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Swift Hesperange won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Differdange	8	7	0	1	19:5	14	21
16	Hesperange	8	0	0	8	2:30	-28	-12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
04.04.26	Jeunesse Canach - Swift Hesperange	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Rodange - Swift Hesperange	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Swift Hesperange - Mamer	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Atert Bissen - Swift Hesperange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
04.04.26	Differdange 03 - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	F91 Dudelange - Differdange 03	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Differdange 03 - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Differdange 03 - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
19.10.25	Differdange 03 - Swift Hesperange	3:0
16.03.25	Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03	0:2
22.09.24	Differdange 03 - Swift Hesperange	0:0
20.04.24	Differdange 03 - Swift Hesperange	2:0
05.11.23	Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03	1:1
Luxembourg Cup
12.04.23	Differdange 03 - Swift Hesperange	1:0
Luxembourg National Division
29.03.23	Swift Hesperange - Differdange 03	4:0

Upcoming Matches