Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 4

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.9	3.75	2.05
	2.81	4	2.09
	2.81	3.9	2.1
	2.93	3.58	2.1
	2.9	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.55)	3.75 ↑ (3.3)	2.08 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
31.9%

Draw
24.3%

Havant & Waterlooville
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.2%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Supermarine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Swindon Supermarine - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Bradbury H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Swindon Supermarine has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Havant is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Havant have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
17.08.24	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
13.08.24	Basingstoke Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Swindon Supermarine - Sholing	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Chippenham Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:2 ✺
16.07.24	Swindon Supermarine - Hereford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
17.08.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
14.08.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Chertsey Town	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	1:3 ✺
19.07.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.09.14	Havant & Waterlooville - Swindon Supermarine	3:0

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