Match Info
Southern League Premier South - Round 28Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday
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Dorchester Town |
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Havant & Waterlooville |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.78 |
3.6 |
2.1 |
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2.88 |
3.86 |
2.09 |
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2.86 |
4.03 |
2.12 |
 Watch |
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2.8 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
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2.89 |
3.68 |
2.07 |
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2.8 |
3.8 |
2.12 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.57) |
3.73 ↓
(3.88) |
2.1 ↓
(2.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dorchester Town
32.2% | Draw
24.4% | Havant & Waterlooville
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Thorpe H. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Crosbie J. ⚽,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Seager R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 2, Crosbie J. ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 2, Robinson W. ⚽,
- 88', 4 - 2, Wright H. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 3, Giwa-McNeil E. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 0.Dorchester has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Havant is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).Dorchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Havant has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.5:2).Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 21 | Havant & W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Dorchester Town - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English Southern League South Division | | | 14.01.26 | Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town | 3:1 | | 04.01.25 | Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town | 1:1 | | 10.08.24 | Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville | 1:1 | | English National League South | | | 11.02.14 | Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville | 0:2 | | 07.12.13 | Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town | 5:1 | | 26.01.13 | Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville | 0:0 | | 13.11.12 | Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town | 4:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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