Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 19

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Swindon Supermarine		Walton & Hersham

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.75	1.88
	3.37	3.95	1.86
	3.5	3.94	1.9	Watch
	3.56	3.72	1.82
	3.35	3.75	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.1)	3.82 ↑ (3.69)	1.87 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
26.8%

Draw
24%

Walton & Hersham
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

24.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Supermarine's form might have worsened.

Walton & Hersham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Walton & Hersham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Supermarine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Walton & Hersham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Swindon Supermarine - Walton & Hersham Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Swindon Supermarine will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Walton & Hersham will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Rogalski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Vigrass R. ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, Obeng M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Swindon Supermarine is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Walton & Hersham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swindon Supermarine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
01.03.25	Marlow - Swindon Supermarine	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Totton	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Gosport Borough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLT
- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
01.03.25	Gloucester City - Walton & Hersham	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Walton & Hersham - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
18.02.25	Sholing - Walton & Hersham	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Walton & Hersham - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Chertsey Town - Walton & Hersham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.01.24	Swindon Supermarine - Walton & Hersham	2:1
12.08.23	Walton & Hersham - Swindon Supermarine	4:2

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