Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.09	3.99
	1.65	3.9	4.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2)	4 ↑ (3.8)	4.13 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
54.9%

Draw
22.9%

Swindon Supermarine
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

24%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

23.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorchester Town's performance.

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Supermarine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorchester Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Supermarine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
66', 1 - 0, Moore C. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Williams H. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Daws M. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, Koszela O. (Pen),
90', 4 - 1, Daws M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Dorchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dorchester is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14:24 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
25.01.25	Dorchester Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Merthyr Town - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTTW
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
01.02.25	Swindon Supermarine - Gosport Borough	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Swindon Supermarine - Chertsey Town	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Sholing - Swindon Supermarine	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:0
09.12.23	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:2
09.09.23	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1
28.01.23	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:0
English Southern League South Division
14.09.22	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	3:2
26.02.22	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1

Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide