Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 26

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Swit Skolwin		Cartusia Kartuzy

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	5.75
	1.42	4.46	6.54	Watch
	1.42	4.5	5.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)	5.9 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swit Skolwin
64.4%

Draw
20.2%

Cartusia Kartuzy
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

20.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.2%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swit Skolwin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Kapelusz S. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Kapelusz S. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Swit Skolwin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Swit Skolwin is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swit Skolwin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Swit Skolwin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.04.24	Unia Swarzędz - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Swit Skolwin - Flota Świnoujście	4:0 ✺
29.03.24	Unia Solec Kujawski - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Swit Skolwin - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Luzino - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW
- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.04.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Vineta Wolin - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:2 ✺
16.03.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Stolem Gniewino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.09.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Swit Skolwin	0:1
14.06.23	Swit Skolwin - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2
19.11.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Swit Skolwin	1:0

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