Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday


	Unia Swarzędz		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.68
	3.68	3.75	1.74
	4.21	3.85	1.71	Watch
	3.53	3.9	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	3.81 ↓ (4.05)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
23.8%

Draw
23.7%

Swit Skolwin
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

22.2%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

21.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Swit Skolwin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Unia Swarzędz - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Splawski L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Recent matches Unia Swarzędz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swit Skolwin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Unia Swarzędz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Swit Skolwin is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unia Swarzędz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Unia Swarzędz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.04.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	Unia Swarzędz - Vineta Wolin	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Stolem Gniewino - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWT
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.04.24	Swit Skolwin - Flota Świnoujście	4:0 ✺
29.03.24	Unia Solec Kujawski - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Swit Skolwin - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Luzino - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Swit Skolwin - Noteć Czarnków	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	3:1
14.05.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	2:0
08.10.22	Unia Swarzędz - Swit Skolwin	0:0
29.08.20	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	0:0

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