Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 10

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Swit Skolwin		Pogoń Szczecin II

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.5	3.25
	1.88	3.6	3.3
	1.93	3.75	3.24	Watch
	2	3.65	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.5)	3.63 ↓ (4.5)	3.19 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swit Skolwin
46.9%

Draw
24.9%

Pogoń Szczecin II
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

20.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

19.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swit Skolwin's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swit Skolwin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swit Skolwin won 1.

Swit Skolwin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pogoń Szczecin II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swit Skolwin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Swit Skolwin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Swit Skolwin won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Swit Skolwin won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.09.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Flota Świnoujście - Swit Skolwin	1:3 ✺
01.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Solec Kujawski	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Elana Toruń - Swit Skolwin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWT
- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Cup
28.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Bytom	1:4 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.05.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Swit Skolwin	3:0
28.10.22	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:2
19.03.22	Pogoń Szczecin II - Swit Skolwin	2:0
18.08.21	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:1
02.06.21	Pogoń Szczecin II - Swit Skolwin	0:1
17.04.21	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:2
06.03.21	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:0

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