Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	4.1
	1.83	3.25	4	Watch
	1.8	3.11	4.26
	1.8	3.14	4.22
	1.6	3.5	4.8
	1.83	3.32	4.34
	1.78	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.99)	3.28 ↑ (3.17)	4.27 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
51%

Draw
27.7%

EC Noroeste
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Bento's performance.

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

São Bento - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Martins da Silva L. T. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, do Amaral C. R. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Martins da Silva L. T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+8', Lucas Mendes 🟥,
90+10', 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

São Bento is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bento won 0.

São Bento is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Noroeste is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Bento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches São Bento won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	São Bento - São José-SP	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Rio Claro - São Bento	3:3 ✺
06.03.24	São Bento - Linense	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTWT
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	EC Noroeste - Taubaté	5:1 ✺
10.03.24	CA Juventus - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
06.03.24	Piracicaba - EC Noroeste	5:2 ✺
02.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1
02.03.24	EC Noroeste - São Bento	1:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista
21.08.23	São Bento - EC Noroeste	0:2
15.07.23	EC Noroeste - São Bento	0:0
19.10.21	São Bento - EC Noroeste	0:1
14.09.21	EC Noroeste - São Bento	0:1

São Bento - EC Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide