Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday


	São Bernardo		Lemense FC

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.9
	2.33	3.05	2.85
	2.36	2.85	2.95
	2.58	2.9	3.07
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.36	3.06	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	2.94 ↓ (3.02)	2.99 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
38.4%

Draw
31.1%

Lemense FC
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

22%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lemense FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lemense FC than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lemense FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São Bernardo - Lemense FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs)).

São Bernardo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atibaia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.05.21	São Bernardo - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
12.05.21	Portuguesa Santista - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	São Bernardo - Sertãozinho	2:0 ✺
06.05.21	São Bernardo - Taubaté	2:3 ✺
03.05.21	Piracicaba - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLW
- Lemense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.05.21	Piracicaba - Lemense FC	0:0 ✺
12.05.21	Lemense FC - CA Juventus	2:1 ✺
09.05.21	Água Santa - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
06.05.21	Lemense FC - Velo Clube	0:0 ✺
03.05.21	Osasco Sporting - Lemense FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
10.03.21	Lemense FC - São Bernardo	0:0
01.02.20	São Bernardo - Lemense FC	1:1

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