Match Info

Date: 3 May 2021, Monday


	Piracicaba		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.13	3.62
	2.2	2.88	3.25
	2.16	3.06	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.41 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
42.3%

Draw
30.6%

São Bernardo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

21.3%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bernardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs) and 7 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Piracicaba will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piracicaba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.04.21	Red Bull Brasil - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
28.04.21	Piracicaba - Taubaté	0:1 ✺
26.04.21	Osasco Sporting - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul	1:0 ✺
22.04.21	Portuguesa Santista - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWT
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.04.21	São Bernardo - Água Santa	1:1 ✺
28.04.21	Atlético Monte Azul - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
26.04.21	São Bernardo - Grêmio Osasco Audax	0:0 ✺
24.04.21	Osasco Sporting - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
22.04.21	São Bernardo - CA Juventus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.08.20	São Bernardo - Piracicaba	3:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.16	São Bernardo - Piracicaba	1:2
03.02.15	São Bernardo - Piracicaba	2:1
22.01.14	Piracicaba - São Bernardo	1:2
06.02.13	São Bernardo - Piracicaba	0:3

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