Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	São Caetano U20		Ituano U20

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São Caetano U20
25.2%

Draw
26.4%

Ituano U20
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Ituano U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano U20 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ituano U20 could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Caetano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.08.25	São Caetano U20 - Itapirense U20	1:3 ✺
07.08.25	EC São Bernardo U20 - São Caetano U20	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	São Caetano U20 - Taubaté U20	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Aguaí U20 - São Caetano U20	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	São Caetano U20 - Santos U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWW
- Ituano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.08.25	Ituano U20 - Araçatuba FC U20	9:0 ✺
06.08.25	União Suzano U20 - Ituano U20	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Ituano U20 - Rio Claro U20	7:0 ✺
19.07.25	Sertãozinho U20 - Ituano U20	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Ituano U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLW

São Caetano U20 - Ituano U20