The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Artsul 44%
Draw 30.7%
São Cristóvão 25.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
29.4%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
28.7%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Artsul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Artsul's performance.
São Cristóvão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Cristóvão might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Artsul that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Cristóvão than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Cristóvão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Artsul - São Cristóvão Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟥,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th and 9th).
Recent results have been tough for Artsul (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by São Cristóvão have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Artsul could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Artsul has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Artsul against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
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