Match Info

Copa Rio - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	São Gonçalo		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.00	1.95
	3.7	3	1.95
	4.03	2.95	1.99
	4.03	2.85	2.02	Watch
	3.95	2.7	1.97
	4.45	2.83	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.35)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)	1.97 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Gonçalo
22.8%

Draw
31.3%

Volta Redonda
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

28.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.4%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Gonçalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

São Gonçalo - Volta Redonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

São Gonçalo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volta Redonda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

São Gonçalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Volta Redonda is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	São Gonçalo - Audax Rio	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
24.06.26	São Gonçalo - Serrano FC	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
20.06.26	São Gonçalo - Bonsucesso	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWWT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
13.07.26	Figueirense - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Maringá - Volta Redonda	4:0 ✺
30.06.26	Volta Redonda - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Volta Redonda - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLW

São Gonçalo - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide