Match Info
Carioca 2 - Round 9Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
São Gonçalo |
|
Bonsucesso |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.20 |
2.80 |
2.20 |
|
 |
3.40 |
2.92 |
2.25 |
|
 |
3.22 |
2.91 |
2.28 |
|
 |
1.45 |
4.13 |
6.40 |
 Watch |
 |
3.20 |
2.75 |
2.25 |
|
 |
4.31 |
2.98 |
1.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.35) |
3.08 ↑
(2.9) |
2.89 ↓
(3.15) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Gonçalo
32.3% | Draw
32.8% | Bonsucesso
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Gonçalo's form might have worsened.Bonsucesso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bonsucesso's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Gonçalo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bonsucesso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.São Gonçalo - Bonsucesso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 9)São Gonçalo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Bonsucesso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Bonsucesso has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Gonçalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.Including home match between the teams, São Gonçalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
