Match Info
Copa Paulista - Round 10Date: 16 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Martins Pereira (Sao Jose dos Campos)
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São José-SP |
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Portuguesa Santista |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.61 |
3.5 |
5.25 |
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1.6 |
3.3 |
5.35 |
Watch |
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1.61 |
3.25 |
5.19 |
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1.70 |
3.38 |
4.96 |
Watch |
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1.62 |
3.4 |
5.33 |
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1.62 |
3.4 |
5.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↑ (1.59) |
3.37 ↓ (3.4) |
5.24 ↓ (5.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São José-SP 55.8% | Draw 26.9% | Portuguesa Santista 17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São José-SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-1.4%)São José SP - Portuguesa Santista Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', 1 - 0, Gustavo Brandao ⚽,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Carlos Alberto (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
São José-SP is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals) Portuguesa Santista is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, Portuguesa Santista has had a series of home games. In this match, São José-SP is a strong favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Copa Paulista | | | 13.07.25 | Portuguesa Santista - São José-SP | 1:1 | | Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 | | | 20.02.25 | Portuguesa Santista - São José-SP | 0:3 | | 02.03.24 | São José-SP - Portuguesa Santista | 1:1 | | Brazilian Copa Paulista | | | 14.10.23 | São José-SP - Portuguesa Santista | 2:2 | | 07.10.23 | Portuguesa Santista - São José-SP | 1:0 | | 05.08.23 | São José-SP - Portuguesa Santista | 3:2 | | 02.07.23 | Portuguesa Santista - São José-SP | 2:0 |
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