Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	São João de Ver		Oliveira do Douro

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.52	3.49	5.5
	1.56	3.6	6.22
	1.51	3.65	6.22
	1.54	3.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	3.57 ↓ (4)	5.79 ↓ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São João de Ver
59%

Draw
25.3%

Oliveira do Douro
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.4%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Oliveira do Douro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São João de Ver, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira do Douro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

São João de Ver is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira do Douro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match São João de Ver is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São João de Ver won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São João de Ver
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.01.24	Salgueiros 08 - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	São João de Ver - Lamelas	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Vila Meã - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	São João de Ver - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Florgrade - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWTT
- CF Oliveira do Douro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.01.24	Oliveira do Douro - Florgrade	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Gondomar - Oliveira do Douro	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Oliveira do Douro - Beira-Mar	1:3 ✺
07.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Oliveira do Douro	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Amarante - Oliveira do Douro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.10.23	Oliveira do Douro - São João de Ver	1:1

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