The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valadares Gaia 24.5%
Draw 30%
São João de Ver 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
24.2%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.5%
23.9%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valadares Gaia's performance.
São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São João de Ver might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valadares Gaia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São João de Ver could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).
Valadares Gaia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches São João de Ver is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match São João de Ver is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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