Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Valadares Gaia		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.81	3	2.1
	3.81	3	2.1
	3.69	3.13	1.98
	3.85	3.1	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (4.83)	3.07 ↓ (3.75)	2.02 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valadares Gaia
24.5%

Draw
30%

São João de Ver
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

23.9%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valadares Gaia's performance.

São João de Ver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São João de Ver might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valadares Gaia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São João de Ver could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Valadares Gaia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São João de Ver is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match São João de Ver is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.03.24	Florgrade - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Beira-Mar - Valadares Gaia	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Valadares Gaia	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Amarante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLTLW
- São João de Ver
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.03.24	São João de Ver - Amarante	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Rebordosa - São João de Ver	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Marco 09 - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	São João de Ver - Oliveira do Douro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.11.23	São João de Ver - Valadares Gaia	4:1
21.02.21	São João de Ver - Valadares Gaia	0:0
13.12.20	Valadares Gaia - São João de Ver	1:1

Valadares Gaia - São João de Ver

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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