Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	São Martinho		Vila Real

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São Martinho
59.6%

Draw
23.6%

Vila Real
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

16.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Martinho's performance.

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-25.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Martinho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches São Martinho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vila Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match São Martinho is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São Martinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams São Martinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.10.21	Amarante - São Martinho	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	São Martinho - Mirandela	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Paredes - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	São Martinho - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.09.21	São Martinho - Vila Meã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.10.21	Vila Real - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Santa Marta de Penaguião - Vila Real	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Vila Real - Macedo de Cavaleiros	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.21	Alverca - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
12.09.21	Vila Real - Tirsense	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWLW

Taça de Portugal
03.09.17	São Martinho - Vila Real	2:1 ET

São Martinho - Vila Real