Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista U20 - Second stage - Round 12

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday


	São Paulo U20		Sertãozinho U20

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.13	7.56	11.19
	1.15	6.84	14.23
	1.14	6.5	10
	1.11	7.5	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.31)	7.1 ↑ (4.5)	12.86 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo U20
80.2%

Draw
12.8%

Sertãozinho U20
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

18.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

19.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo U20's performance.

Sertãozinho U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sertãozinho U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho U20 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertãozinho U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Paulo U20 - Sertãozinho U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Felipe R. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Lucas Ferreira ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Paulinho ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 1, Nascimento M. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
60', 4 - 2, ⚽,
67', 5 - 2, ⚽,
70', 6 - 2, ⚽,
71', 7 - 2, ⚽,
78', 8 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
27.06.24	Corinthians U20 - São Paulo U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.06.24	Osasco Sporting U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
18.06.24	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	4:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
14.06.24	São Paulo U20 - Referência U20	3:0 ✺
07.06.24	GE Osasco U20 - São Paulo U20	2:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWWW
- Sertãozinho U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
22.06.24	Sertãozinho U20 - União São João U20	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Sertãozinho U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Sertãozinho U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	3:2 ✺
25.05.24	Comercial SP U20 - Sertãozinho U20	4:0 ✺
18.05.24	Sertãozinho U20 - Francana U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWLW

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