The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ceará U20 33.9%
Draw 27.5%
São Paulo U20 38.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.7%
25.4%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
25.7%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará U20's performance.
São Paulo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará U20 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceará U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Ceará U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
São Paulo U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ceará U20 has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:10 (averaging 2.6:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ceará U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 2.8:2.3 per game).