Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 23

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Säffle		Vänersborgs IF

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.6	2
	3	3.75	2.05
	2.88	3.7	1.99
	3.14	3.64	1.98
	3	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.2)	3.69 ↓ (4)	2.01 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Säffle
30.3%

Draw
24.6%

Vänersborgs IF
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

22.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

21.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Säffle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Säffle's form might have worsened.

Vänersborgs IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vänersborgs IF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Säffle than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Säffle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vänersborgs IF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Säffle - Vänersborgs IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norra Gu00f6taland (Relegation)).

Säffle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vänersborgs IF is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Säffle won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Säffle SK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
21.09.24	Forward - Säffle	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Säffle - Lidkoping	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Kongahälla - Säffle	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Säffle - Gauthiod	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Herrestads - Säffle	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
21.09.24	Vänersborgs IF - Lidkoping	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Vänersborgs IF - Kongahälla	3:5 ✺
08.09.24	Gauthiod - Vänersborgs IF	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Vänersborgs IF - Herrestads	2:4 ✺
24.08.24	Kumla - Vänersborgs IF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
24.05.24	Vänersborgs IF - Säffle	2:1

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